hewn.

Writing — powerlifting analytics, honest uncertainty, and what the competition record can tell the sport about itself. Posts about chalk.bar are cross-posted from chalk.bar.

15 July 2026 When is a margin real? Across eleven thousand recent contests, most Best Lifter margins are narrower than the statistical noise of the formula that decides them. Here is the flip-risk curve — and the margin at which you can stop arguing about statistics. 15 July 2026 Who wins the Sheffield? We rescored powerlifting's purest formula-decided competition under eighteen defensible statistical analyses. The mathematics barely matters. Who you think the average lifter is decides the title. 15 July 2026 How sturdy is a GoodLift point? Best Lifter awards turn on fractions of a point produced by one fitted curve. We're testing whether those decisions survive every other reasonable way of drawing it — using the complete OpenPowerlifting record. 15 July 2026 What chalk.bar is for Powerlifting analytics that learn your physiology instead of assuming it — where you stand, what it means, and why every number comes with its uncertainty. 15 July 2026 Built on the OpenPowerlifting corpus Why a public-domain archive of competition results is the right foundation for individual prediction.

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